Wednesday, May 11, 2016

40 Years Ago Foreshadowing a 2020 Vision...

A very recent polls show that 40% of Bernie voters would vote for Trump in November if it's between Trump and Hillary. What Beck is saying is that if a large portion of that is true, even if conservatives stayed home or voted 3rd Party/Write-in, that block of Bernie voters could pick up the slack. There is debate as to whether it'll be a low voter turnout (because Trump and Hillary are both so bad as candidates, that it'll suppress turnout), or whether it'll increase turnout (because while the conservatives and socialists may sit out, new-low-info-frustrated-with-both-parties voters will go to the polls to either choose Trump because "outsider" or Hillary because "NOT-Trump, besides... Bill did 'ok' in the 90s despite his personal slime, so why not another Clinton for a second go-round").
Personally, although I'm #NeitherTrumpNorHillary (and will write-in Cruz on Nov 8), it won't really matter which of the two "wins" because the country (as well as other nations: Greece, Italy, France, Spain, Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, China, Japan, the EU) will economically and financially implode making the last 8 years look like a walk in the park. Along with that will be increases in radical islamic terrorism and international military strife (Iran, North Korea, China, Russia, Turkey, etc.).
Whomever is president these next four years won't be able to fix a gosh darn thing, and will most likely make matters even worse.
Cruz stated in his concession/suspension speech:
"But hear me now I am not suspending our fight for liberty. I am not suspending our fight to defend the constitution, to defend the Judeo-Christian values that built America. Our movement will continue and I give you my word that I will continue this fight with all of my strength and all of my ability. You are extraordinary and we will continue to fight next week and next month and next year and together we will continue as long as God grants us the strength to fight on."
This next line tells you everything:
"For one thing remains as true today as it was 40 years ago in Kansas City. In this fight for the long term future of America there is no substitute for victory. There is no substitute for the America that each and every one of us loves with all of our heart, that we believe in with all of our heart and that together we will restore as a shining city on the hill for every generation to come. Thank you to each of you and god bless you."
What was 40 years ago? What's this "restoring that shining city on a hill"? That was the battle for the GOP nomination between Ford and Reagan in 1976. You know what happened next. Ford won the nomination. Ford then lost to Carter. Carter was a complete disaster (domestically with the economy and internationally with foreign policy). Reagan ran again for the nomination, and then went on to win big time against Carter four years later to "restore that shining city on a hill".
Cruz just announced today that he will run for re-election for TX Senate in 2018. He's going to continue to fight and be the leader & mouthpiece for constitutional conservatism these next four years in the Senate, and will run again for President in 2020 (learning from his mistakes, and having an even bigger, stronger, more organized and effective campaign... against either Trump or Hillary... doesn't matter... the end result of either administration will be the same... a total and complete disaster).
Hopefully, God willing, this nation can survive until then.

Meanwhile, read author Brad Thor's FB post regarding Trump & Hillary.

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

#NeitherTrumpNorHillary

In a 12 hour span on May 3, 2016 we heard the unvarnished truth about Trump from Ted Cruz, and then Ted Cruz gave an impressive and inspiring concession speech.
Will be voting for Ted Cruz on June 7 in CA.

Will write-in Ted Cruz on Nov 8.

Will change my political affiliation from GOP to Undeclared on Nov 9.

Will search for (or help start) a new American Common Sense Constitutional political party.

#NeitherTrumpNorHillary

#NeitherHudgeNorGudge *

#GoodbyeGOP

* Hudge and Gudge was G.K. Chesterton's term for the 2-headed beast of Big Government and Big Business.

Friday, April 29, 2016

Who Are The Trumpettes?

The core of Trump's base of supporters (a small %, they are), and who have remained in his camp even after all these months of exposure to the real DT - not his false persona, can be some up as follows:
After 15 years of witnessing a porous border, of witnessing the rise of radical islamic terrorism, of witnessing the destruction of the economy and of the loss of jobs and income association with that, and seeing the likes of both sides of the political establishment being responsible for either allowing these things to happen, causing these things to happen and/or perpetuating these things to happen... what you get is an angry set of citizens who are looking for scapegoats. Three in particular: DEEZ, DEMZ and DOZE. "Deez Mexicans, Dem Muslims, Doze Establishment Politicians".
Then someone comes along who has a lot of built up name recognition, who is not a politician, who comes across as a successful businessman, who happens to stumble upon saying the right things about DEEZ, DEMZ and DOZE.
He may be (as I said way back in August of last year) nothing but a self-promoting carnival barker. A snake oil salesman and con artist with a long history of bad business practices, insider deal trading, and leftist policy positions, beliefs and support. (I have well over 500 links available from over the last 6 months that go into the details of these facts - not opinions, FACTS.)
But that doesn't matter. Why? Because DEEZ, DEMZ and DOZE.
It's only slightly more than one third of the GOP primary electorate who are voting for him. Factor in many who are just going along with the leading dark horse candidate, but are not true believers in him or who just want to stop Hillary. Factor in the open primaries that allow Democrats and Independents to vote, most (not all, but most) doing so to muck up the system by doing their own "Operation Chaos" (because they're happy with either Hillary or Bernie, doesn't matter to them, let's just help to get the weakest and worst opponent to run against the D candidate so that they'll win in November).
And what you really have is maybe 10% of the overall electorate (if that) who are angry, low information voters who are projecting their anger, frustrations (valid as they might be) as well as projecting their idealized image of a "leader" onto Trump without realizing it (and not really caring about it). Because if they actually listen to reason they get MORE angry and lash out. Why? Because they vested so much in him that they can't handle the fact that he could actually be such a weak and pathetic and dangerous and phony straw-man and empty suit.
Because then the mirror has to turn back onto themselves.
And they can't handle that, neither emotionally nor psychologically.
The MSM? All they care about are two things: (A) Ratings (aka, Money) and (B) getting Hillary elected president. They are just along for the ride to help accomplish (A) and (B).
And where do low information voters, who don't follow political news and issues on a regular basis (and who couldn't be bothered to do so) and who have been educated in an indoctrinating public education system, get their information from?
The MSM

Friday, November 06, 2015

The Herman Cain-ing of Carson Has Begun...

This will be the beginning of the breakdown of Carson's support. This story, plus questions about other stories he's told about his past will continue to erode his support (little by little).

And the MSM hasn't even attacked his faith yet (and will soon). As an FYI, the Adventist denomination believes that the Sabbath is Saturday not Sunday - which is all well and good for them, except that their belief is also that those who do not worship on Saturday as the Sabbath are not "real" Christians... and that will be a problem for him to defend.

As Carson's support begins to dwindle, where does it eventually go? Trump is stuck at the 25% range. He's hit his ceiling in the polls (and it's a soft 25%). He will not get much if any from Carson supporters after he had attacked him several times.

Most will not go to Santorum or Huckabee as they have both faded as tired and failed retreads. Rand Paul has no traction. And I don't think they'll shift towards Gang of 8/Amnesty Rubio. They certainly won't run to Jeb or Kasich or Christie. Carly?

Given that most of Carson's supporters are social conservatives, religious conservatives, and tea partiers, I expect that this will turn into a huge shift towards Cruz.

We shall see.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Trumpettes...

Perotistas... Paulbots... Buchanonites... Trumpettes... six of one, half a dozen of the other.

Let's review a little history, shall we?

In '92, Ross Perot (a "populist" billionaire) captured 19% of the general election votes, but garnered a grand total of ZERO delegates and never came close to winning an actual state (never getting more than 30% in any state). And we got Clinton with only 43% of the vote. Not that Bush Sr. was anything to write home about, but still... those were our three choices, and none of them were that good.

In '96, Perot captured under 9% of the general election votes, but garnered a grand total of ZERO delegates and never came close to winning an actual state (getting no more than 14% in any state). And we got Clinton again with only 49% of the vote (twice winning without a majority). Again, not that Dole was anything to write home about, but still... those were our three choices, and none of them were that good.

In '00, "populist" Buchanan ran as an R in the primary, had a hissy-fit, and ran as the Reform Party candidate in the main election. Got 0.5% of the vote, and nearly cost GW the election against Gore (if you added up Buchanan's vote total to GW Bush's you'd never be hearing about him losing the popular vote to Gore). Not that W was anything to write home about, but still... those were our choices (along with Nader for the Green Party who pulled five times as many votes as Buchanan), and none of them were good candidates.

In '08, "populist" Ron Paul ran in the GOP Primary. His supporters were extremely vocal, yet only garnered a 5% vote total and only 16 delegates. Believe me, McCain and Obama were not the best of choices. But Ron Paul and his rabid fans accomplished nothing.

In '12, Ron Paul ran again in the GOP Primary. Once again, his supporters were extremely vocal, yet only garnered a 5% vote total and just 154 delegates (only 7%). Believe me again, Romney and Obama were not the best of choices. But Ron Paul yet again accomplished nothing.

And now, here we are in the lead-up to the '16 campaign.

And here's... "populist" billionaire Trump. *sigh*

I've said it before (multiple times) and I'll say it again (and will keep saying it 'til it sinks in). Don’t be so easily fooled, people.

Trump is a self-promoting carnival barker who, up until a few months ago, has supported policies championed by the leftists or denigrated those held by the right (e.g., Obamacare, illegal immigration and amnesty, the Kelo decision and property rights, bank and corporate bailouts, taxes, abortion, gay marriage, gun control, drug legalization, etc., etc., etc.), donated to the likes of Pelosi, Reid, Schumer, Hillary, and the Clinton Foundation, had a meeting with Clinton just before his announced candidacy, has the hissy-fit/bully temperament of a 12-year-old (we already have that in the WH these last 7 years), who lacks tact, decorum, and common decency, and who is the epitome of corporate crony capitalism - someone who can use pennies on the dollar from his multi-billions to buy influence and favor, and who already has the support of the likes of billionaires Icahn and Buffett.

Let's not forget the fact that he's bankrupted four companies, leaving investors and creditors out to dry while he personally remains untouched by the process. He tries to do the same thing with the U.S.? We make enemies worldwide, devalue the dollar, which then leads to hyperinflation and a worse crash of the economy - with the acceleration of the potential of the U.S. dollar no long being the international monetary standard.

Imagine what the bulk of the MSM will do to him in debate Qs and news exposés down the line. He may be expressing certain things on the campaign trail that resonates with segments of the populace (expressing frustrations pent up in the citizenry), but it's all narcissistic rhetoric, and he ain’t the guy you want as standard bearer and running the WH.

Why not? Because his actions, intentions and recently past stances are 180 degrees from what he's currently stating with the microphone up to his mouth.

I repeat, don't be fooled.

The difference between this time around and the previous elections is not that "this time we'll win!". Uh, no. The difference is that this time it's so early in the process, and there is plenty of time for the boomlet to burst. Because is has to. And it will. Because Trump cannot run away from his past positions and affiliations. He cannot hide from his own words and record.

There are several decent candidates on the GOP side right now who are much better choices than Trump or who at least deserve a good look and listen (Cruz and Jindal come to mind; maybe the likes of Carson, Fiorina, Rubio, Perry, Walker), and who have the opportunity to kick the "establishment" candidates (e.g., Jeb Bush, Christie, Kasich, Huckabee, Graham, Pataki) to the curb long before the primary process is over.

In the previous primaries there weren't that many decent candidates to choose from. This go-round, there are.

Keep emotions in check.

Have a discerning mind.

Don't settle for the blaring, shiny tin-horn.

Don't be a Trumpette.